UPDATED: 04-07-26 18:12 PDT

stick Merrimack
  
Merrimack             
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 74.0270

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 8- 5, 80.1) 10-13 211 A Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 8, 78.9) 5-16 214 A Lafayette Patriot ( 4- 7, 79.2) 11-17 221 A Stonehill Northeast ( 7- 6, 77.0) 5-14 228 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 5- 8, 77.6) 7-13 304 H New Haven Northeast ( 2- 8, 70.2) 18- 8 310 A Radford Big South ( 2-10, 71.1) 17- 6 313 A Presbyterian Big South ( 3- 9, 69.9) 16- 9 318 A New Hampshire America East ( 4- 8, 75.8) 13-18 321 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlanti ( 9- 4, 81.8) 9-17 325 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 7- 6, 81.1) 3-15 328 A Sacred Heart Metro Atlanti ( 4- 8, 74.1) 6-10 401 H Marist Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 77.6) 9-14 404 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlanti ( 7- 6, 79.5) 15-14 408 A Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 78.8) 411 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 2-12, 71.2) 418 A Iona Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 73.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Monmouth (NJ)          10-13      -3    -5           1.83
   211 A Massachusetts-Lowell    5-16     -11    -6    --    -4.87
   214 A Lafayette              11-17      -6    -6           0.41
   221 A Stonehill               5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.85
   228 H Rhode Island            7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.62
   304 H New Haven              18- 8      10     5    ++     4.94
   310 A Radford                17- 6      11     2    +++    9.32
   313 A Presbyterian           16- 9       7     3    ++     4.06
   318 A New Hampshire          13-18      -5    -3          -1.98
   321 H Mount St Marys          9-17      -8    -7          -1.44
   325 A Siena                   3-15     -12    -8    -     -3.66
   328 A Sacred Heart            6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.69
   401 H Marist                  9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.65
   404 H Quinnipiac             15-14       1    -4    ++     5.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Massachusetts-Lowell    5-16     -11    -6    --    -4.87
   221 A Stonehill               5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.85
   228 H Rhode Island            7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.62
   325 A Siena                   3-15     -12    -8    -     -3.66
   328 A Sacred Heart            6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.69
   401 H Marist                  9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Radford                17- 6      11     2    +++    9.32
   304 H New Haven              18- 8      10     5    ++     4.94
   313 A Presbyterian           16- 9       7     3    ++     4.06
   404 H Quinnipiac             15-14       1    -4    ++     5.21

Merrimack Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Akron tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Akron
Albany Albany Albany   2- 0 vs 0- 2
American American   American
Arizona State Arizona State   Arizona State
Army Army Army   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Austin Peay Merrimack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack
Binghamton Binghamton Binghamton   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Boston College Boston College   Boston College
Boston University Boston University Boston University   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Brown Brown   Brown
Bryant Bryant Bryant   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Bucknell Bucknell   Bucknell
Butler Merrimack insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Merrimack
California California California   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Campbell Campbell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Campbell
Canisius Canisius insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Canisius
Central Connecticut Merrimack insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Merrimack
Central Michigan Merrimack tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Merrimack
Cincinnati Cincinnati insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cincinnati
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Coastal Carolina
Colgate Colgate insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colgate
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Columbia Columbia Columbia   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Connecticut Connecticut   Connecticut
Cornell Cornell   Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Davidson
Delaware Delaware insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Delaware
Delaware State Merrimack insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Merrimack
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Mercy Merrimack   Merrimack
Drexel Drexel   Drexel
Duke Duke   Duke
Duquesne Merrimack tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Merrimack
East Carolina East Carolina   East Carolina
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan   Eastern Michigan
Elon Elon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Elon
Fairfield Fairfield Fairfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fairleigh Dickinson Merrimack tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Merrimack
Florida Florida   Florida
Florida State Florida State   Florida State
Furman Furman tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Furman
Gardner Webb Merrimack insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Merrimack
George Mason George Mason tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) George Mason
George Washington George Washington George Washington   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point   High Point
Hofstra Hofstra insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Howard (DC) Merrimack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack
Iona Merrimack insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Merrimack
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
James Madison James Madison   James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kennesaw State
Kent State Kent State   Kent State
La Salle Merrimack tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Merrimack
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Le Moyne Le Moyne Le Moyne   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Lehigh Lehigh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lehigh
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Lindenwood Lindenwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lindenwood
LIU LIU tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) LIU
Longwood Merrimack   Merrimack
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Merrimack Merrimack   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Marist Marist Marist  
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell  
Mercer Mercer tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer
Mercyhurst Merrimack insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Merrimack
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) Monmouth (NJ) Monmouth (NJ)  
Mount St Marys Mount St Marys Mount St Marys  
Navy Navy   Navy
New Hampshire New Hampshire New Hampshire  
New Haven Merrimack Merrimack  
Niagara Niagara insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Niagara
North Carolina North Carolina   North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn Penn   Penn
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
Presbyterian Merrimack Merrimack  
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Queens Queens   Queens
Quinnipiac Merrimack Merrimack  
Radford Merrimack Merrimack  
Rhode Island Rhode Island Rhode Island  
Richmond Richmond insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Richmond
Rider Merrimack tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Merrimack
Robert Morris Robert Morris   Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart Sacred Heart  
San Diego State San Diego State   San Diego State
Siena Siena Siena  
South Florida South Florida   South Florida
Southern California Southern California   Southern California
St Bonaventure St Bonaventure insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Bonaventure
St Josephs (PA) St Josephs (PA)   St Josephs (PA)
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Stetson Stetson   Stetson
Stonehill Stonehill Stonehill  
Stony Brook Stony Brook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Temple Temple insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Temple
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Towson
UC Davis UC Davis UC Davis   2- 0 vs 0- 2
UMBC UMBC   UMBC
UNC-Charlotte UNC-Charlotte   UNC-Charlotte
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
VCU VCU   VCU
Vermont Vermont Vermont   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Villanova
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech   Virginia Tech
Wagner Wagner tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wagner
William & Mary William & Mary insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) William & Mary
Winthrop Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winthrop
Wofford Wofford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wofford
Xavier Xavier   Xavier
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Yale
Youngstown State Merrimack tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Merrimack

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Monmouth (NJ)   ( 8- 5, 80.1)    10-13      -19.82      20.88      -1.22         0.89            -9.36
   0 A Massachusetts-  ( 4- 8, 78.9)     5-16      -20.96      19.75       1.22         0.89            -8.78
   0 A Lafayette       ( 4- 7, 79.2)    11-17      -20.68      20.03       1.22         0.89            -8.66
   0 A Stonehill       ( 7- 6, 77.0)     5-14      -22.94      17.77       1.22         0.89            -9.66
   0 H Rhode Island    ( 5- 8, 77.6)     7-13      -22.28      18.43      -1.22         0.89           -10.45
   0 H New Haven       ( 2- 8, 70.2)    18- 8      -29.72      10.99      -1.22         0.89            17.38
   0 A Radford         ( 2-10, 71.1)    17- 6      -28.77      11.93       1.22         0.89            23.39
   0 A Presbyterian    ( 3- 9, 69.9)    16- 9      -30.03      10.68       1.22         0.89            21.15
   0 A New Hampshire   ( 4- 8, 75.8)    13-18      -24.07      16.64       1.22         0.89           -10.16
   0 H Mount St Marys  ( 9- 4, 81.8)     9-17      -18.10      22.61      -1.22         0.89            -8.59
   0 A Siena           ( 7- 6, 81.1)     3-15      -18.75      21.95       1.22         0.89            -7.80
   0 A Sacred Heart    ( 4- 8, 74.1)     6-10      -25.78      14.93       1.22         0.89           -10.92
   0 H Marist          ( 4- 9, 77.6)     9-14      -22.30      18.40      -1.22         0.89           -10.46
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 7- 6, 79.5)    15-14      -20.44      20.26      -1.22         0.89            33.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         0.97

winning pts = 95.8012 losing points = -94.8309

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------